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DCB-0211 — Traffic & Demand Forecast in 4D trajectory Management Context

The aim of this OI is to benefit from the shared iterative SB/MT development and provides enhanced and continuous Traffic/Demand Forecast services from long term planning to execution phases in 4D Trajectory Management context.
It includes the development of 4D trajectory based forecast methodology (build on 2D, 3D and 4D trajectory data provided by the AUs), operational workflows, and the appropriate infrastructure which provide European airspace planners and airspace users with a common and consistent picture of European air traffic demand that will meet their planning and monitoring needs.
It includes as well improved traffic predictability thanks to the elaboration of the probabilistic demand, the consideration of planned DCB measures and the consideration and processing of airspace users shared flight information (including a set of confidence indexes and their interpretation) in support of the traffic demand enrichment.

Rationale
Enhanced Business Trajectory Forecast methodology (as an extension of DDR1 and DDR2) will provide a standardised confidence indicator and define common operational usage of 4D trajectories forecast resulting from various data sources including historical 4D trajectories, scheduled SBTs (2D, 3D, 4D Schedules) and RBTs. Furthermore, the incorporation of more accurate MET information will enhance the accuracy of traffic/Demand forecast.
Forecast V3 end date
31-12-2023
Benefits start date (IOC)
-
Full benefits date (FOC)
-
Current Maturity Level
V1 finalised
Solution Data Quality Index
-
Current Maturity Phase
R&D
Scope
-
Release
2020+
PCP Status
-

Context

Enablers

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DCB-0211
SWIM-APS-04b
METEO-06c
V4
V5
IOC - FOC

Dependent OI Steps

Relationship Code Title Related Elements
Has predecessor AUO-0203 EFPL in NM processes

SESAR Solutions

PCP Elements: No associated data

Implementation Objectives: No associated data